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PT Solid Gold Berjangka | BoE’s Bailey Says Latest Inflation Fall in Line with Forecasts

01:20 18 April in Fiscal & Monetary, PT SGB, SOLID GOLD BERJANGKA | SOLID GROUP
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BOE Bailey Andrew Bailey PT SGB Solid Gold Berjangka SG Berjangka Solid Group

Solid Gold Berjangka | It seems like Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England is optimistic about the trajectory of British inflation. Here’s a breakdown of the key points from the information you provided:

  • Current Status: Inflation in the UK is declining, aligning with the Bank of England’s expectations.
  • Forecast: Bailey mentioned that next month’s numbers are expected to show a significant drop, likely moving towards the central bank’s 2% target.
  • Recent Data: Annual consumer price inflation fell to 3.2% in March from 3.4% in February. This was slightly higher than the 3.1% median forecast by economists in a Reuters poll.
  • Reasons for Decline: The Bank of England had previously forecasted that inflation would fall below 2% in the second quarter of the year, mainly due to a planned decrease in regulated energy tariffs.
  • Future Expectations: Despite the current decline, the Bank of England anticipates inflation to rise back towards 3% later in the year. This increase is expected due to strong wage growth and services price inflation.
  • Interest Rates: After the Bank of England’s March meeting, Bailey hinted that the direction of inflation might warrant an interest rate cut.
  • Market Reaction: Financial markets have adjusted their expectations for BoE rate cuts. Now, they have only one quarter-point rate cut fully priced in for this year, likely around August or September.

It’s always interesting to see how economic forecasts and market expectations evolve based on data releases and central bank statements!