PT Solid Gold Berjangka | Dollar Gains In Early Trading As World Awaits Iran Response
US DOLLAR SOLID GOLD BERJANGKA, SG BERJANGKA , SOLID GROUP, PT SGB , SGB
Solid Gold Berjangka | The dollar gained in early trading as investors sought to hedge against rising geopolitical risks following the U.S. attack on Iran.
The U.S. currency gained slightly against the euro and most other major currencies as markets began the week in Asia. Crude oil futures rose and U.S. equity contracts fell as the bombings stoked demand for security and concerns about energy supplies. Government bonds edged higher.
“We expect some risk relief, but not aggressively,” said Diego Fernandez, chief investment officer at A&G Banco in Madrid. “The world may be a safer place without the Iranian nuclear threat, but we still need to see how Iran reacts and how the conflict evolves.”
The market reaction has been generally muted since Israel’s initial strikes on Iran earlier this month: Even after falling for the past two weeks, the S&P 500 is only about 3% below its all-time high from February. And a Bloomberg gauge of the U.S. dollar is up less than 1% since the June 13 attacks.
That’s largely because investors expect the conflict to be localized, with no broader impact on the global economy. But the moves could be more significant if Iran responds to the latest developments with moves such as blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route for oil and gas, or attacking U.S. forces in the region, market watchers said.
“It all depends on how the conflict develops, and things seem to be changing by the hour,” said Evgenia Molotova, a senior investment manager at Pictet Asset Management. “The only way they will take it seriously is if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked because that would affect access to oil.”
Iran has vowed to impose “lasting consequences” for the bombing and said it has every option to defend its sovereignty. Meanwhile, Israel has continued its attacks, targeting military sites in Tehran and western Iran.
“This marks a turning point for the market,” said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Markets in Singapore. “The question is whether U.S. assets can still command a premium as a safe haven asset.” However, the decline is likely to be limited as some market participants have braced for a worsening conflict. The MSCI All Country World Index has fallen 1.5% since Israel attacked Iran on June 13. Fund managers have reduced their holdings, stocks are no longer overbought and demand for hedges has increased, meaning a major sell-off is unlikely at these levels. (alg)
Source: Bloomberg