PT Solid Gold Berjangka | UK Businesses Grow for First Time in Three Months, but High Rates Weigh
Ekonomi U.K Flash Services PMI Flash Manufacturing PMI
Solid Gold Berjangka | The provided information highlights the economic situation in the UK based on the S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for November. Here are some key points:
- Return to Growth:
- British companies reported a marginal return to growth in November after three months of contraction.
- Composite PMI Reading:
- The preliminary reading of the S&P Global/CIPS UK Composite PMI for November was 50.1, up from 48.7 in October. A reading above 50 indicates growth.
- Government Measures:
- Finance minister Jeremy Hunt announced measures to boost the country’s weak economic growth.
- Downturn in Orders:
- Despite the return to growth, the downturn in orders continued, reflecting higher interest rates and weak demand.
- Total New Orders:
- Total new orders declined for the fifth consecutive month, indicating a persistently weak economy.
- Economic Challenges:
- Britain’s economy has faced challenges such as the highest inflation rate among big, rich countries and stagnant GDP growth in the third quarter.
- Inflation and Interest Rates:
- The pace of price growth slowed to 4.6% in October. The Bank of England has kept interest rates on hold, but there are warnings of potential persistent inflation.
- Sector-specific Performance:
- The services sector PMI was in positive territory at 50.5, while the manufacturing sector PMI was at 46.7, indicating a decline in output despite being a six-month high.
- Input Cost Inflation:
- Survey respondents reported a slight uptick in input cost inflation.
- Wage Growth:
- “Strong” wage growth was noted, contributing to higher average prices charged by businesses.
- Outlook and Risks:
- While firms were more optimistic about the future, forward-looking indicators suggested that recession risks could remain elevated in the coming year.
- Euro Zone Comparison:
- The Euro zone PMI released on the same day indicated a slight easing of the downturn in November, but there were concerns about a likely contraction in the bloc’s economy in the current quarter.
In summary, the UK economy showed a marginal return to growth in November, but challenges such as a persistent downturn in orders, high inflation, and potential recession risks remained. The government has introduced measures to address economic weaknesses.